You are thinking that I am wrong vs You might be thinking I a wromg

Some examples from the web:

• If you are, please just rest in the glory that I am wrong.
• But I am thinking now... that we were thinking wrong.
• I'm not forcing you to take me in but I have to tell you, your way of thinking is wrong.
• I hope I am wrong and perhaps he could confirm that I am wrong in that regard.
• He was wrong in thinking that she'd come to see him.
• With all my heart I hope that I am wrong.
• You believe that I am wrong to do so.
• I teach, and that I am wrong.
• All my life I've walked around thinking that something was wrong with me.
• All my life I've walked around thinking that something was wrong with me.
• I respect your disagreement, but I do not think that I am wrong.
• We shall see, after Singapore, whether I am wrong or not, but I must frankly say that I doubt it.
• How you are thinking that many of you will die, freeze to death, perish in fire...
• In other words, as you heard Chris say, I've spent the last five years thinking about being wrong.
• I was wrong thinking that choose better friends.
• I figured out we're thinking wrong.
• Am I wrong in thinking that this five-year period simply continues to run?
• I'm thinking if something goes wrong, and you don't meet up with us, I stand to gain from it as much as Roy here.
• What you're doing sounds amazing, but I can't help thinking it's also wrong.
• I fervently hope that I am wrong and that it will be possible tomorrow, during the big anti-racism conference organized by the Dutch presidency, for Minister Dijkstal to announce formally the creation of the Observatory.

Some examples from the web:

• I think you might be thinking about fall.
• You might be thinking of Mitch Miller or something.
• Whatever you might be thinking, Agent Parker, Conrad's a solid guy.
• You might be thinking you've sort of heard something like that before.
• So you might be thinking, the Wave Bubble sounds great.
• You might be thinking back to your last Thanksgiving.
• ...that you might be thinking of us for your father's collection.
• Let me help you with some things that you might be thinking.
• Now, some of you might be thinking,
• You might be thinking of ganging up on me.
• I was worried you might be thinking that I'm going too fast.
• I just came by 'cause I thought you might be thinking about your dad.
• Now, some of you might be thinking, Hold on a minute. She doesn't look very much like an ocean rower.
• I think you might be thinking of "fallacious."
• Who knows what a "lady" like you might be thinking?
• Now you might be thinking about talking to the police, but if you talk to them or to Dessi or anyone else, I'll pay a visit to those beautiful little grandkids of yours.
• Sarah, Sarah, I'm sorry that this didn't occur to me before that you might be thinking this.
• Well, let me have a stab at what you might be thinking, beside the obvious, "Sweet Jesus, please help me."
• Now, you might be thinking, why would a pop star like me come over here and talk to you?
• Now you might be thinking that citizens of high-tech nations would have the advantage in any robotic war, that citizens of those nations would be less vulnerable, particularly against developing nations.